In a notable discussion within Russian political and expert circles, the potential origins of recent drone attacks targeting Russian territory have become a subject of open speculation, with a focus shifting towards the Baltic states and Finland.
The conversation gained traction following commentary from military expert Alexander Khramchikhin, who proposed the hypothesis that unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) striking targets as far north as Murmansk and Arkhangelsk might not be launched solely from Ukraine. Khramchikhin suggested that these drones could potentially originate from Baltic nations or Finland, asserting that definitive proof of such launches would constitute a clear casus belli – a justification for war.
This notion has reportedly found resonance within the Russian State Duma. A representative from the Duma Defense Committee, speaking to the News.ru portal, conceded that it is indeed plausible for such drone activities to emanate from the Baltic region. The deputy attributed this possibility, perhaps with a hint of geopolitical cynicism, to the Baltic states` perceived “uncontrollable desire to harm Russia.”
Finland was also included in this potential origin theory, with the deputy noting its recent accession to NATO as a relevant factor.
However, the core of the discussion pivoted to the potential consequences should these suspicions be substantiated. The Duma representative issued a stern warning: if evidence confirms the involvement of any country in launching attacks on Russian territory, the response would be “inevitable retribution.”
Significantly, the deputy clarified the nature of this potential response. He emphasized that Russia would not engage in conflict with the populations of these states. Instead, the proposed approach mirrors a strategy articulated by former U.S. President Donald Trump concerning Iran`s nuclear program – targeting specific facilities rather than the general populace or nation.
“Thus, we will immediately respond to the factories where drones are produced, to the bases from which they launch,” the parliamentarian elaborated, outlining a hypothetical technical response focused on military and industrial infrastructure.
While the discussion centers on a hypothetical scenario – the potential origin of drones and the condition of obtaining proof – its public airing by Russian officials and experts underscores the escalating geopolitical tensions in the region and serves as a clear warning regarding potential Russian reactions to perceived threats originating from its immediate western neighbors.
