The ‘Wonderful Bad Peace’: What’s Wrong with the Announced Iran-Israel Ceasefire

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US President urged rejoicing over the end of the “12-day war”.

“CONGRATULATIONS EVERYONE!” Trump enthusiastically posted in his usual caps lock on the Truth social platform, solemnly declaring that “a full agreement on a complete ceasefire has been reached between Israel and Iran.” The US President informed the world that the two warring Middle Eastern countries were ending a conflict that had lasted nearly two weeks, resulting in hundreds of deaths following Israeli airstrikes and retaliatory Iranian ballistic missile attacks.

Trump expressed hope that the ceasefire would lead to the end of the “12-day war.” A few hours earlier, three Israeli sources indicated that Israel intended to cease its strikes on Iran soon and conveyed this message to the United States. Just the previous Sunday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had stated that Israel was “very, very close to achieving” its goals.

The American leader`s statement came after Iran attacked a US airbase in Qatar on Monday. Trump called the Iranian attack a “very weak response” and said he would resume efforts to negotiate peace between Israel and Iran.

“The world will welcome the end of the 12-DAY WAR,” Trump added. “During every CEASEFIRE, the other side will remain CALM and RESPECTFUL. Assuming everything works as it should, and it will, I would like to congratulate both countries, Israel and Iran, on having the fortitude, courage, and intelligence to put an end to what should be called the ‘12-DAY WAR.’”

Earlier in his online post, Trump thanked Iran for the “early notification” of the missile strike on the US airbase in Qatar and stated that no Americans were killed or injured in the attack. His remarks, as noted by Western media, suggested that the Iranian response was carefully coordinated to allow Tehran and Washington to de-escalate after the US joined Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities.

“Most importantly, they got rid of all of it in their ‘system,’ and hopefully there will be no more HATRED,” Trump wrote. “Perhaps Iran can now achieve peace and harmony in the Region, and I will enthusiastically encourage Israel to do the same.”

“I think the ceasefire is indefinite. It will last forever,” Trump radiated confidence in the future in an interview with NBC News.

Regarding this, a quote from the movie “Kin-dza-dza!” comes to mind somewhat out of place: “Lord PZh’s order – all Patsaks put on muzzles and rejoice… Why aren`t you rejoicing? Who am I asking?”

However, perhaps the episode from the wonderful film is indeed relevant. Something is preventing rejoicing. And it seems that Trump, with his overflowing geopolitical optimism, may have miscalculated. Perhaps what is happening now in the Iranian-Israeli military conflict can be called the “bad peace” that is better than a good quarrel, but there will be no harmony in the Middle East, not even in the foreseeable, let alone the unforeseeable, future.

It’s not just that as long as the Palestinian problem exists (and it hasn`t gone away, and has become even more bitter and bloody in recent years), there will be no peace or harmony in this hot region. And it’s not even that the proud people of Iran drank the cup of national humiliation over the past dozen days after Israel and the US`s effective (and efficiently effective – which is even more offensive) strikes. This means that feelings of resentment and hatred will be driven even deeper, to sprout into a desire for revenge equally effectively as the offense.

No need for a fortune teller: sooner or later, these feelings will boil up like scalding steam and blow the lid off. So much so that the current Israeli-Iranian missile duels will be remembered as a blessing.

The problem is that even at this current (optimistic) stage, there is no certainty at all that the talk of a ceasefire will actually be implemented.

Just a few hours after Trump’s triumphant statements, the announced truce was on the verge of collapse. On Tuesday morning, Israel accused Iran of violating the deal and stated that it would “respond with force.” Tehran, however, insists that “not a single missile has been fired at the enemy yet.”

Be that as it may, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that his country would “respond with force” after Iran’s “gross violation” of the ceasefire regime. Israeli military intercepted two rockets launched from Iran towards Israel, an IDF spokesman told CNN.

“If Israel makes a mistake, all occupied territories will be attacked, just as it was an hour before the end of the war,” warns a high-ranking Iranian source.

Even Mr. PZh (excuse me, Donald Trump) got angry at his historical ally. The American president said that Israel should “calm down” amid reports of the ceasefire violation. “I have to get Israel to calm down now,” Trump stated upon leaving the White House, according to Reuters. “Israel, as soon as we made a deal, they went out and dropped a load of bombs like I’ve never seen before, the biggest load we’ve ever seen. Essentially, we have two countries that have been fighting for so long and so hard that they don’t understand a damn thing (the superpower president used a more energetic expression in the original text. – MK) they are doing.”

“I’m not happy with Israel. You know, when I say you have 12 hours now, you don’t go to work for the first hour, just take off everything you’re wearing, I’m not happy with that. I’m not happy with Iran either,” Trump distributed grievances.

As they said in another cult Soviet film: “High… High relations!” Which truly instill confidence in tomorrow. Even more so – in eternal peace.

So, despite Trump’s calls, let`s not rush to rejoice about the sudden tranquility found in the Middle East.

The author of these words was present on Tuesday at the speech by the Russian Foreign Minister at the Primakov Readings. Commenting on the reports of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, Sergey Lavrov noted that it is still very difficult to draw conclusions, although Moscow would only welcome such agreements if they hold: “Let`s not make hasty conclusions,” the head of Russian diplomacy stated, adding: “But we are for peace!”

And at this point, it is difficult to add anything further.

Alexander Reed
Alexander Reed

Alexander Reed brings Cambridge's medical research scene to life through his insightful reporting. With a background in biochemistry and journalism, he excels at breaking down intricate scientific concepts for readers. His recent series on genomic medicine earned him the prestigious Medical Journalism Award.

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